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Gold Price Forecast: Today, This Week and Beyond (XAU/USD)

XAU/USD · Updated at $4,293
By Christian Möhrer, reviewed by Karsten Kagels

Gold forecast in 30 seconds

Where it stands

Corrective pressure after the all-time high at $5,598; price recently tested the 200-day moving average.

Short term

The June low forms the floor. While the correction runs below $4,550, the next move is open.

Upside targets

$5,800 and above after the correction; $6,700 to $7,300 by 2030 in the long-term trend channel.

Main drivers

US interest-rate policy, US dollar strength, inflation and geopolitical risk set the short-term direction.

On this page
  1. Gold forecast in 30 seconds
  2. Gold price forecast for today
  3. Gold price forecast for tomorrow
  4. Gold price forecast for this week
  5. Gold price forecast for next week
  6. Gold price forecast 2026: targets and scenarios
  7. Gold price forecast 2027
  8. Gold price forecast 2028
  9. Gold price forecast to 2030
  10. Long-term gold forecast to 2050
  11. How this forecast is made
  12. Please note

Gold price forecast for today

For Tuesday, 15 September 2026

  • Expected range today$4,220 – $4,340
Gold four-hour chart with resistance at 4,382, 4,550 and 4,697 and support at 4,291, 4,203 and 3,942Click to enlarge
Gold (XAU/USD), four-hour chart, 15 September 2026 at 07:55 CEST (TradingView). Chart labels in German: Juni-Tief = June low, Vorwochentief = last week's low, Hoch = high.

After the all-time high of $5,598 in January, momentum collapsed and volatile corrective moves took over. A series of lower highs was followed by the last low at $3,942 in June, above which gold began to stabilise. For now, however, the new recovery is failing to break above last year's high at $4,550, where price met heavy supply.

On the four-hour chart, the breakout mood that shaped August has recently taken a clear hit. A support zone formed around $4,300 and is under pressure at the start of the new week. On Tuesday, the question is whether a break brings larger losses or demand holds steady.

Resistance

  • $4,697
  • $4,550
  • $4,382

Price at analysis$4,293

Support

  • $4,291
  • $4,203
  • $3,942

Gold price forecast for tomorrow

For Wednesday, 16 September 2026

  • Expected range tomorrow$4,330 – $4,450
  • Alternative$4,190 – $4,320

Depending on how today unfolds, Wednesday should show whether the market aims for a breakout from the wedge after the Fed rate decision, or whether the sideways stabilisation above $4,300 continues.

Gold price forecast for this week

Week of 14 September 2026

  • Possible range this week$4,140 – $4,530
Gold daily chart with the 50-day and 200-day moving averagesClick to enlarge
Gold (XAU/USD), daily chart for this week and next, 15 September 2026 at 07:48 CEST (TradingView).

The daily chart puts the situation in context. Price could not hold on to its latest recovery and is likely to meet resistance around the 200-day moving average. For now, the shorter 50-day average is under pressure; above it, a phase of stabilisation could take shape. A break below $4,200, on the other hand, would signal a stronger phase of losses.

Gold price forecast for next week

Week of 21 September 2026

  • Possible range next week$4,440 – $4,760
  • Alternative$4,050 – $4,380

Depending on this week, a breakout from the consolidation between $4,300 and $4,500 could emerge. If the area around $4,250 cushions further losses and price breaks back above the 200-day moving average, the April high would be the next target. If corrective pressure pushes price below the 50-day average, the June low would come into focus.

Gold price forecast 2026: targets and scenarios

In 2026 gold reached a historic milestone with the all-time high at $5,598, and it has been in a pronounced correction since. For the rest of the year, the key question is whether this is a healthy pullback within an intact uptrend or the start of a deeper trend reversal.

Bullish: consolidation and new records

As long as gold defends the support zone between $3,900 and $4,100, the bigger picture stays constructive. In this scenario, the current recovery is the base for another run at the all-time high once price is back above the 200-day moving average. Out of the trading range between $4,000 and $5,000, a breakout above $5,000 would make a new record above $5,600 realistic in the second half of 2026.

Bullish target 2026: $5,600 – $5,800

Bearish: the correction continues

In the struggle around the 200-day average, that line could still act as resistance. Prices below this long-term moving average are a negative signal on the chart and would keep targets around $3,500 active.

Bearish target 2026: $3,300 – $3,600

Conclusion: The bullish base case would be at risk with prices below $4,000. An interim recovery is building, which could bring further gains if it breaks above last year's high.

Gold price forecast 2027

Gold weekly chart with the 20-week line and green uptrend linesClick to enlarge
Gold (XAU/USD), weekly chart, 12 September 2026 (TradingView, logarithmic scale). Price is fighting for the 20-week line.

On the weekly chart, gold broke above the 2023 high ($2,146), held off losses below $2,000 and then set a series of new records. The trend continued out of the consolidation that lasted until September 2025 and reached the 2025 high at $4,550.

After the turn of the year, price added further gains, but fell back sharply from the all-time high in January 2026 ($5,598). Below the falling 20-week line, it put pressure on the $4,000 area. Supported by the lower green uptrend line, a consolidation could play out first on the way into 2027, before prices above $5,600 come into view.

Only a break of $3,900 would lead into a downtrend structure and activate targets around $3,500.

Resistance

  • $5,598
  • $4,890
  • $4,550

Support

  • $4,098
  • $3,942
  • $3,500

Gold price forecast 2028

Gold monthly chart with a price target of 6,500 dollarsClick to enlarge
Gold (XAU/USD), monthly chart, 12 September 2026 (TradingView, logarithmic scale): breakout scenario, with a correction due after strong gains.

On the monthly chart, the rally that started in November 2022 from the low at $1,614 was dynamic and overcame the resistance of the 2020 and 2021 yearly highs. After the firm monthly close in March 2024, gold set new highs in the following months. After light profit-taking, the advance continued to a local high in April 2025, which was taken out after a consolidation with another run of records.

Price has now broken the series of rising monthly lows that began in November 2024: the February 2026 low at $4,402 was undercut. We therefore expect this trend-confirming correction to finish first, before prices around $6,500 could be targeted by 2028.

2025 in review: in January the market picked up the new momentum straight away and took out the 2024 high. The advance tired in April and turned into a consolidation, which ended with strong gains in September. The 2025 high at $4,550 was set in December.

2026 so far: volatility is clearly higher. January alone covered a range of $1,290 and marked the all-time high at $5,598. February and March saw sharp swings with new lows. April was calmer and May also moved less, while pressure to the downside built in June. July ran without notable impulses just above the June low. Most recently, a counter-move in August is now working through last year's high.

Resistance

  • $5,598
  • $4,550

Support

  • $4,098
  • $3,942

Gold price forecast to 2030

Gold quarterly chart with the long-term uptrend since 2001Click to enlarge
Gold (XAU/USD), quarterly chart, 12 September 2026 (TradingView, logarithmic scale): resistance at the all-time high.

The quarterly chart shows an established long-term uptrend from the 2001 low. In the third quarter of 2022, price found support at the green trend line and started a recovery in the fourth quarter. Gold held this direction in 2024 and marked the yearly high at $2,790. With the gains of last year and this year, the breakout scenario continues and confirms the trend.

Assuming established supports and the angle of the trend hold, the price is likely to settle between $6,700 and $7,300 in 2030.

Resistance

  • $5,598
  • $4,550

Support

  • $2,790
  • $2,075

Long-term gold forecast to 2050

Gold yearly chart with the long-term trend channelClick to enlarge
Gold (XAU/USD), yearly chart, 12 September 2026 (TradingView, logarithmic scale): stable uptrend in the long-term channel.

The yearly chart shows an intact long-term uptrend. In 2026, after a firm close to the previous year, it continues a breakout scenario. In principle, this points to further rising prices in the gold market. Should the long-term trend channel still see a correction, a conservative estimate gives a target area between $8,000 and $14,000 for 2050.

Resistance

  • $5,598
  • $4,550

Support

  • $2,790
  • $2,075

How this forecast is made

The forecast is based on chart analysis, read top-down: from the yearly and quarterly charts through the monthly and weekly charts down to the four-hour chart. This shows the price areas where supply or demand is likely to appear. They become support and resistance zones, the potential turning points. Our guide shows how we identify support and resistance.

Economic dates with higher expected volatility are built into the ranges for the coming days. Besides support and resistance, the main tools are moving averages and Fibonacci retracements. Gold is analysed in US dollars per troy ounce (XAU/USD). The charts come from TradingView; how we use the platform is covered in our TradingView review. The gold/silver ratio and the silver levels are covered in the silver price forecast.

Please note

The scenarios are a personal assessment based on experience. They summarise the most likely price range for each time frame and are not a certainty. This is market analysis, not investment advice. Keep your position sizes in line with your own risk management.

This forecast is translated from the German edition on kagels-trading.de.

How our forecasts are made and reviewed: How we work.

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